Divided Argument

We picked two immigration decisions from the same day over the transgender-sports case because — Dan’s protests notwithstanding — that’s where the interesting law is. In Mullin v. Doe the Court lets the administration terminate temporary protected status for Haiti and Syria, holding the statute’s no-judicial-review bar swallows the procedural challenges and that the equal-protection claim fails on the merits — with a genuinely odd move: skipping the jurisdictional question the way Steel Co. says you can’t. In Mullin v. Al Otro Lado a fight about asylum-metering collapses onto a single preposition — whether a migrant stopped at the border “arrives in” the United States — and the majority says no. Along the way: brown M&Ms and Van Halen riders, whether Congress can strip review of constitutional claims without turning in a circle and sprinkling salt on the ground, Bolling v. Sharpe as a candidate for the worst decision ever, and why there’s no White Somalia to run a controlled experiment.
Highlights
[00:00:28] Opening: hype music, and listening to your own podcast to get in the mood

[00:01:42] Building a live-show rider with Claude Code, and the Van Halen brown-M&Ms test as a safety checklist

[00:03:18] Blogging origin stories — GeoCities, Movable Type, the death of Google Reader, a ransomed domain

[00:06:26] Why we date-stamp episodes; the “too many episodes” complaint

[00:07:27] Today’s slate: two June 25 immigration decisions, Mullin v. Doe and Mullin v. Al Otro Lado, chosen over the trans-sports case

[00:10:37] A digression on the opinion’s broken line spacing on page 1

[00:12:11] Mullin v. Doe setup: TPS, the consultation-and-review procedures, and the “no judicial review of any determination” bar

[00:19:07] Does the bar reach the procedures or just the bottom line? The Court says the whole thing

[00:24:32] Can Congress strip review of constitutional claims — or must it first “turn in a circle and sprinkle salt on the ground”?

[00:25:01] Dan on his and Alan Trammell’s The False Promise of Jurisdiction Stripping

[00:31:42] Steel Co. and jurisdiction-first — and the Court’s strange skip of it on the interim docket, which costs it Gorsuch and Barrett on that Part

[00:38:54] Why leave a hard jurisdictional question unwritten — the stare-decisis dodge and the “do you write on the shadow docket” dilemma

[00:42:17] The multiply-the-probabilities problem (70% × 70%), by way of the Section 3 disqualification argument

[00:44:04] The merits: Trump v. Hawaii redux, and Alito’s very ginger, sanitized recounting of the President’s statements about Haitians

[00:48:21] Arlington Heights, race as a motivating factor, and the burden-shift the Court blends into one step

[00:52:32] The Thomas concurrence: equal protection doesn’t bind the federal government — Bolling v. Sharpe and Primus’s Bolling Alone

[00:59:27] The Kagan dissent: the review bar reaches only the bottom line, so the failure-to-consult claim survives

[01:03:34] Why there’s no perfect test case — no White Somalia — so the burden of proof is the ballgame

[01:04:42] Mullin v. Al Otro Lado: metering, and whether a migrant stopped at the border “arrives in” the United States

[01:08:31] IIRIRA swapped “arrives at” for “arrives in” — did changing the preposition change the meaning?

[01:12:16] Dueling everyday-language examples: the running back, the mailbox, and Sotomayor’s Penn Station / DCA / Golden Gate / movie-theater hypos

[01:15:44] The Chicago Skyway’s “Now arriving in Indiana” signs — “we say no thanks”

[01:18:28] The dissent’s practical stakes: perverse incentives to cross illegally, the SS St. Louis, and the Footnote 5 vs. Footnote 4 spat

[01:20:51] Mootness and the voluntary-cessation exception; Jackson’s advisory-opinion dissent and the Chatrie citation she just missed

[01:24:13] The second Thomas concurrence: the § 1252 injunction bar (Garland v. Aleman Gonzalez) and an inherent Article II power to expel — “milling around”

[01:26:18] The “an uniform rule” indefinite-article tangent; Conor Clarke on how we can’t pronounce anything

[01:28:06] Sign-off: Dan’s two-week vacation, and thanks to the Constitutional Law Institute and SCOTUSblog

Relevant links
Cases
Mullin v. Doe — slip opinion (No. 25-1083, consolidated with Trump v. Miot; TPS termination for Haiti and Syria)

Mullin v. Al Otro Lado — slip opinion (No. 25-5; asylum metering and “arrives in the United States”)

Commentary & articles
Daniel Epps & Alan M. Trammell, “The False Promise of Jurisdiction Stripping” (Columbia L. Rev. 2023) — the argument that jurisdiction stripping is a far weaker tool than advertised

Richard Primus, “Bolling Alone” (Columbia L. Rev. 2004) — after Bolling v. Sharpe, the Court has never actually invalidated federal discrimination against Black plaintiffs at the Court

Henry Monaghan, “Marbury and the Administrative State” (1983) — how a court “says what the law is” when the law tells it to defer

After a quick check on the Nina Totenberg embargo kerfuffle and one more revelation from Justice Thomas's memoir, we devote the episode to Chatrie v. United States, the Court's first major Fourth Amendment decision in years. We trace how the geofence-warrant ruling builds on — and goes beyond — Katz, United States v. Jones, and Carpenter v. United States, and what's left of the third-party doctrine and the mosaic theory. Will explains the positive law model of the Fourth Amendment; Dan tries to claim Justice Gorsuch's separate opinion for his general-law approach. We close with the dissents, the advisory-opinion objection, and whether the Court should be saying more about the Fourth Amendment or less about everything. Along the way: Venmo heroin deals, smart microwaves, whether Will has genuinely forgotten his passcode, and a field-trip assignment for Chicagoland listeners.
Highlights
[00:00:21] Cold open: three recording sessions in three days, and the theories swirling around the Nina Totenberg screw-up

[00:02:04] Justice Alito's embargo story: the press-room idea he liked until he learned they have to let the journalists out of the room

[00:03:04] My Grandfather's Son follow-up: Justice Thomas's over-cautious marijuana confession

[00:04:35] Cleanup-order watch: GVRs still owed in light of Slaughter, Landor, and B.P.J.

[00:04:57] The main event: Chatrie v. United States, the geofence-warrant case — and why a 5-Justice Fourth Amendment majority is a good get for Justice Kagan

[00:06:51] What a geofence actually is (there is no fence) and the three-step Google Location History protocol

[00:13:52] General warrants, particularity, the University of Chicago backpacks hypo, and Ybarra v. Illinois — with a field-trip assignment to the Aurora Tap House

[00:21:09] Three questions — search, reasonableness, exclusion — and the clever cert grant that fenced out the exclusionary rule

[00:25:52] The setup: Jones and the two tracks of Fourth Amendment doctrine, step 0 (the third-party doctrine), then Carpenter

[00:33:13] Will's positive law model of the Fourth Amendment, and Justice Gorsuch's Carpenter dissent

[00:36:29] Orin Kerr's mosaic theory: "building out the mosaic Byzantine style, it starts to become searchier"

[00:39:15] Kagan shuts the mosaic door: where the Fourth Amendment applies, it applies regardless of quantity — a fortiori from Carpenter

[00:47:36] What survives of the third-party doctrine: Strava, public Venmo feeds, and the "For heroin" hypo

[00:50:53] Why it's a big deal: the anti-mosaic holding, and a majority of Justices revealed as Carpenter people

[00:54:48] Tangent: Face ID, the Fifth Amendment, Will's forgotten passcodes, and his enemies

[00:56:55] Does the Stored Communications Act make all this academic?

[00:58:34] The Jackson concurrence's particularity nudge, en banc remand practice, and Levy & Newman on unwritten circuit rules

[01:00:43] The Gorsuch concurrence: papers, effects, property — Will disowns it and gives it to Dan's general-law approach

[01:08:36] The Alito dissent: the advisory-opinion objection, footnote 4, the Davis carve-out, and the NRA v. Vullo precedent for a do-over remand

[01:18:59] Justice Barrett's à-la-carte joins and her one-paragraph dissent — "we should have more dissents like this"

[01:22:31] Two kinds of law professors, "The Supreme Court Flunks Trusts," and whether we're good on law

[01:24:15] Sign-off: the rare promise of a schedule — a fourth recording session this week

Relevant links
Cases
Chatrie v. United States — slip opinion

Ybarra v. Illinois

United States v. Jones

Katz v. United States

Smith v. Maryland

Carpenter v. United States — slip opinion

Florida v. Jardines

Davis v. United States

NRA v. Vullo

Commentary & articles
Amy Howe, "Court rules that law enforcement's use of 'geofence warrant' was a 'search'" (SCOTUSblog)

Kate Shaw, Will Baude & Steve Vladeck, end-of-term Supreme Court roundtable (N.Y. Times, July 1, 2026) — the "hosannas" Will mentions on air

William Baude & James Y. Stern, "The Positive Law Model of the Fourth Amendment," 129 Harv. L. Rev. 1821 (2016)

Danielle D'Onfro & Daniel Epps, "The Fourth Amendment and General Law," 132 Yale L.J. 910 (2023)

Orin S. Kerr, "The Mosaic Theory of the Fourth Amendment," 111 Mich. L. Rev. 311 (2012)

John H. Langbein, "The Supreme Court Flunks Trusts," 1990 Sup. Ct. Rev. 207

Other
Clarence Thomas, My Grandfather's Son (2007)

Jon O. Newman & Marin K. Levy, Written and Unwritten: The Rules, Internal Procedures, and Customs of the United States Courts of Appeals (Cambridge 2024)

It's the last opinion day of the term, and the big one landed: Trump v. Barbara, the birthright-citizenship case. We read the majority as the rare easy case and spend most of the episode on why the four dissents each end up somewhere different — and trying to figure out exactly where they actually land. Along the way: a bogus Nina Totenberg story, a Landor GVR that might quietly unsettle a chunk of Spending Clause criminal law, and whether the professors who defended the order deserve the "legal scholarship police."
Highlights
[00:00:27] The bogus Nina Totenberg wire story that Justice Alito was retiring — "Fake news, Dan."

[00:02:03] The Justice Alito / Justice Sotomayor bench-dissent dust-up from the immigration hand-downs

[00:03:11] Last opinion day — 3 opinions, 4 cases; NRSC v. FEC and West Virginia v. B.P.J. / Little v. Hecox flagged for later

[00:05:27] A significant new grant teed up on possession of semi-automatic rifles (AR-15s)

[00:06:43] A GVR in light of Landor in a federal arson case, and the narrow-vs-broad theory of what a GVR means

[00:09:34] Whether Landor's narrowing of Sabri could upend a swath of Spending Clause federal criminal law

[00:10:58] Why RLUIPA reaches prisoners — Chuck Colson's post-Watergate lobbying (courtesy of a listener, Emma Kaufman)

[00:12:55] Trump v. Barbara — Trump loses, but closer than predicted: "Trump beats the spread"

[00:15:25] Should professors who defended the order be punished? — "we don't need legal scholarship police"

[00:19:58] The majority's walk: common law → Dred Scott → the 14th Amendment → Wong Kim Ark

[00:26:21] Wong Kim Ark as linchpin, and whether its "domiciled here" language was doing any work

[00:36:48] Justice Kavanaugh concurs in the judgment on the statute, then dispatches the constitutional question breezily

[00:42:05] New states, Hawaii, and Living Originalism — when may you add new exceptions? "Weird islands you can't drive to"

[00:48:33] The 91-page Justice Thomas dissent, the facial-challenge pivot, and the reserved domicile question

[00:56:40] Justice Alito's Civil Rights Act / "not subject to any foreign power" reading, and the statelessness caveat

[01:00:11] Justice Gorsuch's 3-page solo dissent: if not domiciled here, then where? — a jab Thomas may not share

[01:05:33] Justice Jackson's anti-subordination concurrence, and whether it lands against Thomas

[01:10:24] "I feel proud to be an American, Dan" — hail to the Chief, and to Justice Barrett; sign-off

Relevant links
Cases
Trump v. Barbara — slip opinion

Landor v. Louisiana Dept. of Corrections — slip opinion

Sabri v. United States (2004)

United States v. Wong Kim Ark (1898)

NRSC v. FEC — slip opinion

West Virginia v. B.P.J. / Little v. Hecox — slip opinion

Commentary & articles
SCOTUSblog opinion recap: "Supreme Court strikes down Trump's order ending birthright citizenship"

Ilan Wurman & Randy Barnett's NYT essay defending the order (Minnesota Law summary)

The big opinions are coming fast and furious as the Term ends. This episode, we take on two related cases from the penultimate opinion drop day: Trump v. Slaughter, which overrules Humphrey's Executor and clears away for-cause protection for the independent agencies, alongside its interim-docket companion Trump v. Cook, where the very same logic somehow spares the Federal Reserve. The big question: if the President can fire an FTC commissioner at will, what actually makes the Fed different — is "history" doing the work, or is the Court just saving the bond markets? Along the way: Heidegger's "always already," whether the metaphor of a living tree is consistent with originalism, a Goldilocks definition of "cause," the Chief leaning on his own unworkable precedents, the Ex parte Young mystery that keeps escaping the Court's grasp, and the first appearance of "the interim docket" in the U.S. Reports.
Highlights
[00:00:18] The penultimate opinion day — four down, four to go

[00:00:50] The last-day pileup, and the McCain-Feingold campaign-finance case still pending

[00:03:25] A confession: staircase wit, and the metaphor Will wishes he'd used

[00:04:27] The living tree as an originalist — and the petrified-tree rejoinder

[00:06:01] The new custom-cover workflow, and what Claude still isn't allowed to write

[00:07:00] The day's four opinions: Cook, Slaughter, Chatrie, and Watson v. RNC

[00:09:50] Is the Court strategic about opinion timing? A walk back through OT21's last days

[00:13:55] Slaughter before Cook: the general rule before the exception

[00:15:08] "Humphrey's Executor has always already been overruled" — by way of continental philosophy

[00:17:36] Slaughter: the question, Humphrey's Executor, and the road from Morrison v. Olson through Seila Law

[00:22:12] Why presidents mostly haven't tested removal — and whether this shifts the equilibrium

[00:25:29] Walking the opinion: Roberts for the Court, the Thomas non-join, a Sotomayor (not Kagan) dissent

[00:27:30] The Decision of 1789, the history fight, and the "good arguments on both sides" that made Will a "witless hack"

[00:33:19] Part III-B's reserved questions and the Gorsuch concurrence's non-delegation wish list

[00:43:06] Cook: procedurally on the interim docket, and why it comes out the other way

[00:46:00] The Chief's history tour — the Bank of North America, Hamilton, and an accomplished yachtsman

[00:49:00] The Fed as the "third bank"; Bamzai & Nielson and the monetary-vs-regulatory problem

[00:50:25] The chain of moves: reviewability, a Goldilocks "cause," and the equity remedy

[00:53:11] Footnote 2 and the Ex parte Young mystery — Armstrong, CASA, and Bivens

[00:58:41] Process not received: a Truth Social post isn't enough, and what Cook gets next

[01:00:54] "The interim docket" enters the U.S. Reports

[01:01:52] The separate writings: Kavanaugh (save the economy), Jackson (equities), Thomas's solo dissent

[01:04:45] Alito-Gorsuch and Barrett: hard questions, and skepticism of a carve-out defended "for secret reasons"

[01:11:26] Sign-off: if there's a long delay before the next episode, it's because we've lost removal protection

Relevant links
Cases
Trump v. Slaughter — slip opinion · SCOTUSblog analysis

Trump v. Cook — slip opinion · SCOTUSblog analysis

Chatrie v. United States — slip opinion · SCOTUSblog analysis

Watson v. Republican National Committee — slip opinion · SCOTUSblog analysis

Commentary & articles
Aditya Bamzai & Aaron L. Nielson, "Article II and the Federal Reserve" — the leading qualified defense of Fed independence (Cornell L. Rev.)

Samuel L. Bray, "Remedies in the Officer Removal Cases" — relied on by the Cook majority on the equity-remedy question (Journal of Legal Analysis); draft/announcement on the Divided Argument blog

William Baude, "How To Save The Federal Reserve" — Will's prior take on preserving Fed independence under the removal cases

We're in triage mode as the Court clears its end-of-term backlog. We run through the week's opinion dump before focusing on two cases that look unrelated but turn on the same question: when may a state rewrite background property law to limit a constitutional right? In Wolford v. Lopez, the Court strikes down Hawaii's rule requiring a property owner's express consent before a firearm may be carried onto otherwise-public premises. Then to Pung v. Isabella County, a takings case asking whether a homeowner whose property is sold for back taxes is owed only the sale proceeds or full fair-market value. Along the way: a theory about a Landor v. Louisiana flip, the week's run of 6-3 conservative wins, and a short detour into the perils of teaching Federal Courts.
Key Topics
[00:00:00] - Triage mode: recording June 25 amid the end-of-term opinion dump
[00:01:29] - What's still outstanding — and the campaign-finance case's standing problem
[00:03:56] - The Landor "flip" theory: did Justice Jackson lose the majority to Justice Gorsuch?
[00:06:40] - Thursday's decisions: Monsanto v. Durnell (FIFRA), two immigration wins, Wolford v. Lopez
[00:08:58] - Counting the week's seven 6-3 conservative wins; the Hemani surprise
[00:12:57] - The throughline: when may a state redefine property to evade a constitutional right?
[00:18:35] - Wolford v. Lopez: Hawaii's "express consent" gun rule after Bruen
[00:20:42] - The Bruen framework — step one vs. step two, and the free-speech analogy
[00:26:57] - The change vs. the outlier: uniformity and Hawaii's sensitive-places list
[00:30:49] - Alito's historical analogues: poaching laws and the Black Codes
[00:33:34] - Jackson's dissent: race, Equal Protection, and how non-mechanical Bruen really is
[00:38:59] - Caetano, the Ramos v. Louisiana callback, and Alito on racist origins
[00:41:21] - Barrett's concurrence, Kagan's narrower path, and the rejected "spirit of aloha"
[00:48:23] - Pung v. Isabella County: tax sales, takings, and "just compensation"
[00:51:45] - Thomas's historical turn on tax-sale rules, and the fairness backstop
[00:55:45] - Sign-off
Relevant Links
Supreme Court of the United States: https://www.supremecourt.gov/

Divided Argument podcast: https://www.dividedargument.com/

Transcripts: https://www.dividedargument.com/transcripts

Commentary blog: https://blog.dividedargument.com/

Merchandise: https://store.dividedargument.com/

New York State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen: https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/21pdf/20-843_7j80.pdf

Tyler v. Hennepin County: https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/22pdf/22-166_q86b.pdf

Ramos v. Louisiana: https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/19pdf/18-5924_j4el.pdf