The Investor's Podcast (We Study Billionaires) - The Investor’s Podcast Network

Daniel Mahncke and Shawn O'Malley take a deep dive into Copa Holdings — the Panama-based hub-and-spoke airline whose investment case now turns on two of the most debated questions in the stock today: whether Copa is a structural exception to the airline curse — protected by a geography no rival can copy and a cost base only a handful of carriers in the world can match — or whether even the best airline in the Americas eventually gets pulled into the same gravity that has destroyed value for nearly every other carrier.

IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:
(00:00:00) Intro
(00:01:35) Why airlines are such a tough business to be in
(00:03:55) What Buffett and other superinvestors think
(00:16:47) Why Copa is different than other airlines
(00:35:58) How being the best-in-class business can change the investors’ outcome
(00:38:38) How Copa built its moat
(01:01:14) How Copa can defend its moat
(01:22:37) Valuation discussion of Copa
(01:24:36) Whether Copa is valued attractively
(01:27:30) Whether Shawn and Daniel add CPA to the Intrinsic Value Portfolio

Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.

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Kyle Grieve discusses what bubbles are, why they form, and why they always feel different in real time. He’ll examine historical patterns through frameworks from Insana, Kindleberger, and Howard Marks, and explain how investors can protect themselves by focusing on intrinsic value over narratives rather than speculation.

IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:
(00:00:00) Intro
(00:02:31) Why understanding bubbles is critical for long-term investor survival
(00:04:31) How “this time is different” fuels every historical bubble
(00:05:37) Why smart money, incentives, and career risk inflate bubbles
(00:07:21) How investors rationalize bubbles using new, useless KPIs
(00:08:56) The predictable emotional arc: skepticism, euphoria, panic, collapse
(00:10:04) Why price detaches from intrinsic value during bubbles
(00:12:28) Kindleberger’s five stages: displacement, boom, revulsion, discredit
(00:30:58) Lessons from tiny bubbles like plank roads and Beanie Babies
(00:53:01) How human nature, not technology, causes recurring bubbles
(01:08:44) How to protect portfolios from bubbles by focusing on value, not narratives

Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.

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Kyle Grieve and Shawn O’Malley analyze QXO, the ambitious building-products distribution company led by serial industry consolidator Brad Jacobs, a man who has turned multiple boring industries into extraordinary wealth-creation machines throughout his career. Tune in as they debate whether Brad Jacobs' unparalleled track record as a capital allocator is enough to justify investing in a business that is still very much a work in progress.

IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:
(00:00:00) Intro
(00:02:03) How Brad Jacobs built multiple billion-dollar companies from scratch
(00:05:49) The structure QXO used to go public fast
(00:07:05) How Beacon Roofing was acquired despite a poison pill defence
(00:11:26) What Kodiak added to QXO's geography and product mix
(00:14:43) Why the TopBuild deal is a game-changer for margins
(00:23:54) How QXO plans to unlock synergies across its portfolio
(00:43:27) Why Jacobs' approach to dilution mirrors Henry Singleton's playbook
(00:59:00) The thickness of QXO's competitive moat
(01:08:51) The three biggest risks that could derail QXO's vision
(01:11:57) What bull, base, and bear cases reveal about fair value
(01:19:33) Intrinsic value of QXO
(01:20:13) Portfolio decision

Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.

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Brad Jacob’s first book, How to Make A Few Billion Dollars.

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Shawn O'Malley and Daniel Mahncke explore Grab Holdings (ticker: GRAB).

In this episode, you'll learn how Grab was able to quickly grow across eight countries in Southeast Asia, and what local adaptations they made to outmaneuver Uber, which eventually ceded its entire market share to Grab.  

Despite Grab’s astronomical successes, the company’s stock is down 70% since IPO, and investors are wondering if perhaps now is finally a good entry point after the company reached its first full year of profitability. Shawn and Daniel discuss and estimate Grab’s intrinsic value, plus so much more!

IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:
(00:00:00) Intro

(00:04:45) How Grab was able to outcompete Uber

(00:11:46) What unique advantages Grab has been able to take advantage of in Southeast Asia

(00:13:42) Why Grab’s lending business fits so naturally into its flywheel

(00:57:26) What are the biggest risks facing the company

(00:41:21) Why Grab’s profit margins are inflecting so dramatically, and where they could land

(01:02:55) What makes Southeast Asia such an appealing market to invest in long-term

(01:11:03) How to think about Grab’s intrinsic value and attractiveness as an investment

(01:14:26) Whether Shawn and Daniel decide to add Grab to the Intrinsic Value Portfolio

Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.

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Track The Intrinsic Value Portfolio

Compound with Rene’s deep dive into Grab.

Listen to Shawn & Daniel’s podcast on Uber.

Read Shawn’s newsletter on Uber.

Check out our previous Intrinsic Value breakdowns: ⁠Transdigm⁠, ⁠Salesforce⁠, ⁠Berkshire Hathaway⁠, ⁠FICO⁠, ⁠PayPal⁠, ⁠Uber⁠, ⁠Nike⁠, ⁠Amazon⁠, ⁠Airbnb⁠, ⁠Alphabet⁠.

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Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠best business podcasts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠.

SPONSORS
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⁠Shopify⁠

References to any third-party products, services, or advertisers do not constitute endorsements, and The Investor’s Podcast Network is not responsible for any claims made by them.
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Daniel Mahncke and Shawn O'Malley take a deep dive into Wix.com — the Israeli website-building platform whose investment case now turns on two of the most debated questions in the stock today: whether the generative-AI wave that lets anyone spin up a site from a text prompt is the end of Wix or whether Wix is too sticky, and whether the Base 44 acquisition — Wix's bet on AI-powered app generation — is the next leg of the story or a distraction from the SMB infrastructure business the company already dominates.

IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:
(00:00:00) Intro
(00:01:32) How Wix was founded
(00:21:35) Why clients keep using Wix
(00:28:05) How much of WIX is actually vulnerable to AI
(00:37:07) Why Wix is more sticky than it seems
(00:38:24) Whether vibecoding is likely to disrupt drag-and-drop website building
(00:46:54) Why Base44 could change the entire investment case
(01:06:24) How Wix could survive and turn into a multibagger
(01:09:21) Valuation discussion of Wix
(01:13:26) Whether Shawn and Daniel add Wix to the Intrinsic Value Portfolio

Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.

BOOKS AND RESOURCES

Join the exclusive ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TIP Mastermind Community⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠.

Track ⁠⁠⁠⁠The Intrinsic Value Portfolio⁠⁠⁠⁠.

Portfolio Review Submit Tool.

Value Investor Club Article.

Chit Chat Stocks w/ Manuel Cunha.

Future Investing Interview w/ Manuel Cunha.

Rene Sellman Substack Article.

Manuel Cunha Substack Article.

Previous Intrinsic Value breakdowns: Figma, Microsoft, Salesforce, Adobe.

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