Call Me Back - with Dan Senor

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Did the Iran war solve the problem, postpone it or make it worse? 

That fundamental debate has emerged over the outcome of the war with Iran. The campaigns degraded Iran's military infrastructure, but it also ended with a new, possibly more dangerous Supreme Leader in power, Iran controlling the Strait of Hormuz, and Iran’s nuclear capability largely intact. 

Dan is joined by former Israeli Military Intelligence chief Tamir Hayman and FDD CEO Mark Dubowitz to discuss whether the war was a strategic success, a missed opportunity, or an unfinished chapter in a conflict that is far from over.

Listen to Mark’s podcast, The Iran Breakdown with Mark Dubowitz.

In this episode:

04:51 - What is the most likely outcome of the U.S.-Iran negotiations?

08:00 - What were the tactical achievements of the US and Israeli attacks?

10:03 - Was the war strategically worth it?

19:42 - Can and will Trump still finish the job?

24:44 - Was the plan to have Kurds help topple the Iranian regime credible?

32:30 - Was Ahmadinejad a realistic replacement candidate?

35:42 - How formidable a foe is Mojtaba Khamenei?

41:48 - Is Iran more dangerous today than before the war?

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Dan Senor & Saul Singer’s book, The Genius of Israel

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Credits: Ilan Benatar, Brittany Cohen, Ava Weiner, Martin Huergo, Mariangeles Burgos, and Yuval Semo

Subscribe to Inside Call me Back.

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Subscribe to Ark News Daily

____

Did the Iran war solve the problem, postpone it or make it worse? 

That fundamental debate has emerged over the outcome of the war with Iran. The campaigns degraded Iran's military infrastructure, but it also ended with a new, possibly more dangerous Supreme Leader in power, Iran controlling the Strait of Hormuz, and Iran’s nuclear capability largely intact. 

Dan is joined by former Israeli Military Intelligence chief Tamir Hayman and FDD CEO Mark Dubowitz to discuss whether the war was a strategic success, a missed opportunity, or an unfinished chapter in a conflict that is far from over.

Listen to Mark’s podcast, The Iran Breakdown with Mark Dubowitz.

In this episode:

- What is the most likely outcome of the U.S.-Iran negotiations 

- What were the tactical achievements of the US and Israeli attacks?

- Was the war strategically worth it?

- Can and will Trump still finish the job?

- Was the plan to have Kurds help topple the Iranian regime credible? 

- Was Ahmadinejad a realistic replacement candidate?

- How formidable a foe is Mojtaba Khamenei?

- Is Iran more dangerous today than before the war?

More Ark Media:

Want to join Ark Media? Check out our careers page for new openings.

Explore Israel Votes

Listen to For Heaven's Sake

Listen to What’s Your Number?

Watch Call me Back on YouTube

Newsletters | Ark Media | Amit Segal | Nadav Eyal

Instagram | Ark Media | Dan

X | Dan

Dan Senor & Saul Singer’s book, The Genius of Israel

Get in touch

Credits: Ilan Benatar, Brittany Cohen, Ava Weiner, Martin Huergo, Mariangeles Burgos, and Yuval Semo

For the full episode, subscribe here to Inside Call me Back.

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This is a sneak peek from the members-only edition of Inside Call me Back. Tal Becker, who has negotiated on behalf of Israel in the past, details the lesser known levers which are used in negotiations behind closed doors. 

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You can access the full episode here, where Dan takes on listener questions about:

- Is Israel on the Right Side of History, but the Wrong Strategy?

- Aliyah, Yeridah, and How Jews Should Frame their Futures

- What Would It Take to Expand the Abraham Accords?

- How Israel Can Counter Drones and Emerge Stronger 

- Was Leaving the Iran Nuclear Deal a Mistake?

More Ark Media:

Want to join Ark Media? Check out our careers page for new openings.

Explore Israel Votes

Listen to For Heaven's Sake

Listen to What’s Your Number?

Watch Call me Back on YouTube

Newsletters | Ark Media | Amit Segal | Nadav Eyal

Instagram | Ark Media | Dan

X | Dan

Dan Senor & Saul Singer’s book, The Genius of Israel

Get in touch

Credits: Ilan Benatar, Brittany Cohen, Ava Weiner, Martin Huergo, Mariangeles Burgos, and Yuval Semo

Subscribe to Inside Call me Back.

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Subscribe to Ark News Daily

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Is President Trump saving Israel from a war it can’t win, or forcing it into a deal that leaves Hezbollah intact and Israeli soldiers and citizens vulnerable?

President Trump announced a ceasefire in Lebanon. Hezbollah agreed to stop firing rockets into Israel. Israel agreed to not strike Beirut. Yet the fighting in southern Lebanon continues, IDF soldiers are being killed and injured by Hezbollah rockets and drones, and the strategic problem remains unsolved.

Dan is joined by Nadav Eyal and Amit Segal to discuss Trump’s explosive phone call and pressures on Netanyahu, the link between Lebanon and the Iran negotiations, and whether this moment represents an off-ramp from an unwinnable conflict or a pause that leaves Israel’s hands tied and facing the same dangerous dilemma in southern Lebanon.

In this episode:

04:48 - Trump's expletive-laced confrontation with Netanyahu over Lebanon

06:42 - What the new Lebanon "ceasefire" actually means

10:09 - Why Hezbollah's drone campaign is hurting Netanyahu politically

13:21 - Is the “Lebanon Trap” also possibly an off-ramp for Israel?

21:09 - What is really driving Netanyahu's decision-making?

23:30 - How Lebanon became part of the Iran negotiations

26:39 - Does Hezbollah's fate ultimately depend on Iran?

28:36 - Is Hezbollah weaker today, or stronger by adapting for the next war?

More Ark Media:

Want to join Ark Media? Check out our careers page for new openings.

Explore Israel Votes

Listen to For Heaven's Sake

Listen to What’s Your Number?

Watch Call me Back on YouTube

Newsletters | Ark Media | Amit Segal | Nadav Eyal

Instagram | Ark Media | Dan

X | Dan

Dan Senor & Saul Singer’s book, The Genius of Israel

Get in touch

Credits: Ilan Benatar, Brittany Cohen, Ava Weiner, Martin Huergo, Mariangeles Burgos, and Yuval Semo

Subscribe to Inside Call me Back.

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In a few months elections will be held in Israel, the first since Oct. 7th, and arguably one of the most consequential in Israel’s history. But how do the elections actually work in Israel?

As part of our Israel Votes series, Dan is joined by Amit Segal and Nadav Eyal for a practical guide to the mechanics behind Israeli democracy: the Knesset, coalition-building, electoral thresholds, and the structural realities that will shape the next election long before a single vote is counted.

In this episode:

03:33 - Why Israel Chose a Parliamentary System

07:06 - The Knesset, the Government, and the Courts

12:36 - How Votes Become Knesset Seats

14:57 - How Israel Actually Chooses a Prime Minister

18:45 - Coalition Negotiations and the Fight Over Ministries

22:09 - What Caused Israel's Five-Election Deadlock?

24:54 - What Election Night Looks Like in Israel

27:45 - Does Israel End Election Night With a Governing Majority?

More Ark Media:

Want to join Ark Media? Check out our careers page for new openings.

Explore Israel Votes

Listen to For Heaven's Sake

Listen to What’s Your Number?

Watch Call me Back on YouTube

Newsletters | Ark Media | Amit Segal | Nadav Eyal

Instagram | Ark Media | Dan

X | Dan

Dan Senor & Saul Singer’s book, The Genius of Israel

Get in touch

Credits: Ilan Benatar, Brittany Cohen, Ava Weiner, Martin Huergo, Mariangeles Burgos, and Yuval Semo